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  • Quality Wins, Leverage Pays!

Quality Wins, Leverage Pays!

Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan

Jan 14, 2026

Quality Wins, Leverage Pays!

TLDR

Market Recap: January 14, 2026

On January 14, Indian equities extended losses as geopolitical risk and crude strength capped risk-taking, even while metals outperformed. BSE Sensex closed at 83,382.71, down 244.98 points (-0.29%), and NSE Nifty 50 closed at 25,665.60, down 66.70 points (-0.26%). Broader markets held up better with Nifty Midcap 100 up 0.29% to 59,770.50 and Nifty Smallcap 100 up 0.67% to 17,410.85. Volatility was steady-to-firmer with India VIX at 11.32, up about 0.12 points (+1.07%) vs the prior close. In cash, FIIs sold ₹4,781.24 crore while DIIs bought ₹5,217.28 crore (provisional)

Key Drivers :

  • Risk-off macro tape: Geopolitical tensions and higher crude lifted caution, keeping most sectors in the red despite selective buying.

  • Flows still the gatekeeper: Persistent FII selling met steady DII absorption, limiting downside but also capping any follow-through rally.

  • Rotation, not breadth: Metals and PSU banks outperformed while IT and realty lagged, reinforcing a stock-specific, sector-rotation market.

Today’s Top Stories:

  • Infosys: Revenue beat and raised FY26 guidance, but profit slipped on a one-time labour-code hit.

  • Tata Elxsi: Profit slump plus broker downgrades kept the stock under pressure and raised visibility questions.

  • Union Bank: Q3 profit up, and NPAs eased; the stock surged and reinforced the PSU bank trade.

  • IOB and Punjab and Sind Bank: QIP plans put capital-raise execution and pricing in focus for PSU banks.

  • Hindustan Zinc and Vedanta: Metals outperformed as commodity prices rallied, cushioning an otherwise weak market close.

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. Infosys Q3: revenue beat, FY26 growth guidance raised

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Revenue beat estimates; profit dipped due to a one-time labour code-related impact.

  • Implication: Guidance upgrade signals steadier demand and deal momentum; AI-led work remains a core growth lever.

  • Market: Stock reaction stayed mixed as investors balanced guidance raises versus near-term margin noise.

    $INFY ( ▼ 5.56% )

Infosys beats on revenue and raises FY26 growth guidance. Your read?

  • Bullish: demand is turning
  • Neutral: priced in already
  • Cautious: margins still noisy

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2. Tata Elxsi Q3: profit slump, visibility reset

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Profit fell sharply, tied to exceptional charges and weaker near-term profitability optics.

  • Implication: Focus shifts to ER&D demand visibility and recovery in discretionary spends across key verticals.

  • Market: Stock sold off as the street treated it as a confidence and visibility reset, not just one quarter.

    $TATAELXSI.NSE ( ▲ 1.07% )

Tata Elxsi profit drops sharply and the market resets expectations. What’s your stance?

  • Buy: quality at discount
  • Neutral: wait for clarity
  • Avoid: visibility worsened

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3. Union Bank Q3: profit up, asset quality improves

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Profit rose year on year, and NPAs eased, reinforcing the PSU bank earnings momentum.

  • Implication: Re-rating case strengthens if credit growth holds and margins stay stable into FY26.

  • Market: The stock surged intraday, leading to strength in PSU banks, even as benchmarks remained weak.
    $UNIONBANK.NSE ( ▲ 2.0% )

Union Bank posts profit growth and better asset quality. How do you view the move?

  • Bullish: re-rating continues
  • Neutral: steady, not new
  • Cautious: margins may slip

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4. IOB and Punjab and Sind Bank: QIP plans in focus

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Both banks flagged QIP fundraising plans, keeping capital buffers and dilution pricing in focus.

  • Implication: Timing and pricing will signal market appetite for PSU bank supply and growth capital.

  • Market: Names stayed active as traders priced capital actions alongside results season momentum.

    $PSB.NSE ( ▲ 0.89% ) $IOB.NSE ( ▲ 0.03% )

IOB and Punjab and Sind Bank plan QIPs. What matters most?

  • Bullish: growth capital unlocked
  • Neutral: depends on pricing
  • Cautious: dilution overhang

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5. Hindustan Zinc and Vedanta: metals rally drives outperformance

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Metal stocks jumped as commodity prices firmed, lifting sector leadership on an otherwise down day.

  • Implication: Market is leaning into upcycle optionality, but commodity volatility remains the swing risk.

  • Market: Metals outperformed sharply, partially offsetting IT drag at the index level.

    $HINDZINC.NSE ( ▲ 2.2% ) $VEDL.NSE ( ▲ 2.12% )

Hindustan Zinc and Vedanta rally with commodities. Your call on the metals trade?

  • Bullish: upcycle is back
  • Neutral: tactical bounce only
  • Cautious: commodity whiplash

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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