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  • Held Up, Not Hyped!

Held Up, Not Hyped!

Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan

Jan 13, 2026

Held Up, Not Hyped!

TLDR

Market Recap: January 12, 2026

On January 12, Indian equities snapped a five-day losing streak as US-India trade talks were scheduled for Tuesday, improving sentiment and offsetting foreign outflows and early volatility. Sensex closed at 83,878.17, up 301.93 pts (+0.36%), while Nifty 50 ended at 25,790.25, up 106.95 pts (+0.42%); metals led while realty dragged. Broader risk stayed mixed with Nifty Midcap 100 -0.05% (59,717.10) and Nifty Smallcap 100 at 17,193.30 (-0.52%); India VIX rose to 11.36 (+3.93%). In cash, FIIs sold ₹3,433.46 cr while DIIs bought ₹4,523.20 cr; retail inflation data was in focus into the close

Key Drivers :

  • Trade talk timing lifted risk appetite: US-India talks slated for Tuesday triggered a sharp intraday rebound from lows, led by cyclicals and metals.

  • Flows stayed a tug of war: FIIs remained net sellers in cash while DIIs absorbed supply, keeping the headline indices green despite weak broader breadth.

  • Volatility intensified in macro prints: The India VIX rose as desks positioned around inflation and upcoming Budget risk, even as spot indices recovered.

Today’s Top Stories:

  • TCS Q3: Profit fell on charges, revenue held up, and AI momentum stayed the narrative; stock finished slightly higher.

  • HCLTech Q3: Profit dipped, revenue and bookings were solid, dividend continued; shares edged up.

  • Reliance battery plan: Company denied any pause in cell plans, reaffirming clean energy timelines; stock held steady.

  • Maruti plus IOCL: Service at fuel stations expands after sales footprint; stocks were mildly positive on the day.

  • Vodafone Idea AGR relief: Moratorium eases near-term cash stress, but spectrum dues and funding clarity still cap confidence.

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. TCS Q3: Profit hit by charges, revenue holds

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Profit dropped on exceptional charges; revenue growth stayed steady versus expectations.

  • Implication: AI services push continues; restructuring signals margin discipline and portfolio reshaping.

  • Market: Stock leaned positive as investors preferred revenue resilience over one-time charge impact.

    $TCS.NSE ( ▲ 1.67% )

TCS profit fell on charges, revenue held up. Your takeaway?

  • Bullish: resilience is intact
  • Neutral: mixed, wait for guidance
  • Cautious: margin risk persists

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2. HCLTech Q3: Profit down, bookings strong, dividend intact

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Profit declined, revenue grew; an interim dividend was announced, and guidance remained a key read-through.

  • Implication: Strong bookings support demand visibility; hiring caution suggests calibrated growth and productivity focus.

  • Market: Shares edged up, with bookings strength offsetting profit pressure.

    $HCLTECH.NSE ( ▲ 1.03% )

HCLTech profit down, bookings strong, dividend continues. What matters most?

  • Bullish: bookings signal strength
  • Neutral: steady quarter, no surprise
  • Cautious: profits tell the truth

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3. Reliance: Battery ecosystem plan reaffirmed

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Company denied pause chatter and reiterated timelines for the cell to storage ecosystem.

  • Implication: Clean energy credibility stays intact; execution and supply chain risks remain the swing factors.

  • Market: Stock reaction was steady, as clarification reduced rumor volatility.
    $RELIANCE.NSE ( ▲ 3.61% )

Reliance denies battery plan pause chatter. How do you view it?

  • Bullish: execution stays on track
  • Neutral: PR clarification only
  • Cautious: timeline risk remains

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4. Maruti Suzuki and IOCL: Service at fuel stations expands reach

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Tie-up enables vehicle service facilities at select IOCL outlets, expanding service access.

  • Implication: Boosts retention and convenience in smaller cities; adds a value layer to IOCL stations.

  • Market: Mildly positive tape as investors saw a distribution and service footprint upgrade.

    $MARUTI.NSE ( ▲ 2.71% )

Maruti service moves into select IOCL fuel stations. Your view?

  • Bullish: retention and reach boost
  • Neutral: nice, not material
  • Cautious: quality control risk

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5. Vodafone Idea: AGR relief buys runway, not a rescue

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: AGR dues set, long moratorium structure reduces near-term cash outflows and default risk.

  • Implication: Relief helps fundraising narrative, but spectrum payments and capex gap still define survivability.

  • Market: Stock stayed choppy as investors priced relief, then refocused on funding certainty.

    $IDEA.NSE ( ▲ 5.74% )

Vodafone Idea gets AGR relief structure. What’s the right read?

  • Bullish: runway meaningfully improves
  • Neutral: buys time, nothing more
  • Cautious: funding still the wall

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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