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  • TARIFF THREAT NOT A DENT ON INDIA INC YET ?

TARIFF THREAT NOT A DENT ON INDIA INC YET ?

Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan & Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan & Yash Tiwari

Jul 30, 2025

Adventuring through the Canadian Rockies

TLDR

📈 Market Recap: July 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Indian equity markets ended with modest gains, supported by earnings-led buying in select index heavyweights despite broader caution ahead of key global events. The BSE Sensex rose 143.91 points (+0.18%) to close at 81,481.86, while the NSE Nifty 50 advanced 33.95 points (+0.14%) to settle at 24,855.05.

Broader market performance remained mixed: the Nifty Midcap 100 edged up by 0.12%, while the Nifty Smallcap 100 slipped 0.18%, as investors rotated toward defensives and large-caps. Sectorally, infrastructure and capital goods stocks led the rally, while IT and pharma lagged.

Overall, investor sentiment remained cautiously optimistic amid stock-specific action and global event risks.

Key Drivers:

  • Macroeconomic Headwinds: Gains were tempered by concerns over the delayed India–U.S. trade deal, with potential tariffs looming ahead of the August 1 deadline, and investor caution ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy decision. As of market close , the US government announced 25% tariffs.

  • Foreign Investor Outflows: Overseas investors continued selling Indian equities, with outflows reaching ₹46.37 billion on Tuesday, bringing total July outflows to approximately $1.61 billion.

  • L&T’s Earnings Spark Optimism: Strong quarterly results from Larsen & Toubro lifted its stock by around 5%, propelling broader market sentiment and boosting infrastructure-linked names.

  • Divergent Sector Performance: Infrastructure and L&T outperformed; meanwhile, mid-caps and small-caps underperformed as investors rotated into large-cap defensives.

Today’s Top Stories:

  1. NSDL IPO Fully Subscribed on Day One : NSDL’s ₹4,012 crore IPO was fully booked on Day 1, indicating strong investor interest.

  2. WeWork India Files for $407M IPO: WeWork India, profitable and independent, is preparing a $407M Mumbai IPO via secondary sale.

  3. New India Assurance Q1 Profit Surges 68% : PSU insurer posted ₹392 crore profit, driven by better underwriting and strong retail demand

  4. Schneider Electric to Fully Acquire India Unit : Schneider will buy out Temasek’s 35% stake in its Indian JV for $6.4B, scaling operations.

  5. Tata Motors to Acquire Iveco for $4.5B : Tata Motors expands globally with a $4.5B buyout of Italy’s Iveco.

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. NSDL IPO Fully Subscribed on Day One

DALL-E

  • IPO Demand: NSDL’s ₹4,012 crore IPO was fully subscribed within hours, fueled by strong demand from institutional and retail investors.

  • Strategic Position: As India's largest depository, NSDL offers stable recurring revenue and a critical role in capital market infrastructure.

  • Market Outlook: Grey market premiums suggest listing gains of 15–16%.

What’s your take on NSDL post-IPO?

  • Bullish – Core infrastructure play with stable growth potential
  • Neutral – Well-established, but limited upside post-listing
  • Cautious – Valuation looks stretched given slowing market volumes

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2. WeWork India Files for $407M Mumbai IPO

DALL-E

  • Business Health: The India unit is profitable and operates 59 high-occupancy centers independently from the troubled U.S. parent.

  • IPO Details: Fully secondary offer valued at $814 million.

  • Investor View: Momentum in India's coworking sector offers potential, but valuation is a concern.

Poll: Do you see value in the WeWork India IPO?

  • Bullish – Profitable business riding a high-growth coworking trend
  • Neutral – Decent metrics, but expensive at $814M
  • Cautious – IPO proceeds go to sellers; future scale-up unclear

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3. New India Assurance Q1 Profit Surges 68%

DALL-E

  • Earnings Performance: Net profit jumped 68% YoY to ₹392 crore, with strong underwriting margins and premium growth.

  • Business Drivers: Growth in retail and MSME segments along with improved investment income.

  • Market Reaction: Stock rallied ~16% after earnings.

    $NIACL.NSE ( ▲ 5.68% )

Poll: What’s your stance on New India Assurance post-Q1 results?

  • Bullish – Earnings momentum and improved underwriting make it attractive
  • Neutral – Good quarter, but insurance sector remains cyclical
  • Cautious – One-off gains may not be sustainable long-term

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4. Schneider Electric to Fully Acquire India Unit for $6.4B

DALL-E

  • Deal Details: Schneider will buy the remaining 35% in its Indian JV from Temasek, solidifying full control for €5.5 billion (~$6.4 billion).

  • Strategic Implication: India will now function as a global hub for manufacturing and energy solutions.

  • Growth Focus: Expansion planned across its 31 Indian plants, with emphasis on digital and green energy segments.

    $SCHNEIDER.NSE ( ▲ 1.45% )

Poll: Is Schneider’s $6.4B bet on India justified?

  • Bullish – India is a smart long-term manufacturing and energy bet
  • Neutral – Strong move, but price tag is hefty
  • Cautious – Global macro and integration risks could weigh on returns

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5. Tata Motors to Acquire Iveco for $4.5B

DALL-E

  • Acquisition News: Tata Motors is set to acquire Italian truck maker Iveco in its biggest deal ever.

  • Strategic Fit: Deal aims to strengthen Tata’s global commercial vehicle portfolio, especially in Europe.

  • Market Sentiment: Mixed; analysts question debt load and integration complexity.

    $TATAMOTORS.NSE ( ▲ 0.07% )

How do you view Tata Motors’ $4.5B Iveco deal?

  • Bullish – Ambitious but aligns with global growth strategy
  • Neutral – Strong potential, but hinges on smooth execution
  • Cautious – Overreach risk; may strain balance sheet

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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