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  • Incentives In. Defence Outperforms!

Incentives In. Defence Outperforms!

Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan

Dec 26, 2025

Incentives In. Defence Outperforms!

TLDR

Market Recap: December 26, 2025

On December 26, Indian equities eased for a third straight session in holiday-thinned trade as IT dragged and traders booked profits near record zones. Sensex closed at 85,041.45 (-367.25, -0.43%) and Nifty 50 at 26,042.30 (-99.80, -0.38%); Nifty Midcap 100 slipped 0.23% and Nifty Smallcap 100 dipped 0.08%. India VIX stayed near multi-year lows at 9.15 (-0.04, -0.44%), signalling muted risk pricing. Flows were mixed with FIIs net sellers (₹317.56 cr) and DIIs net buyers (₹1,772.56 cr), while the rupee held near 89.85 per USD with intervention chatter and RBI liquidity actions in focus.

Key Drivers :

  • IT profit-taking: IT-led declines on stock-specific booking after a strong run, keeping benchmarks under pressure despite broader stability.

  • Flows split: FIIs stayed marginal net sellers while DIIs absorbed supply, keeping the drawdown orderly rather than capitulation-like.

  • Low vol, tight ranges: India VIX hovered near 9, reinforcing a consolidation tape and limiting panic hedging despite soft global cues.

Today’s Top Stories:

  • Ola Electric PLI boost: ₹366.78 crore incentive sanction sparks a sharp stock pop as investors price in cash support.

  • Lenskart Korea stake: A KRW 3bn tech investment fuels optimism on proprietary equipment and efficiency gains.

  • Rico Auto momentum: Heavy volumes push the stock to a fresh 52-week high, reflecting high risk appetite.

  • Bankex adds 4 banks: New inclusions go live, setting up potential passive and derivatives positioning shifts.

  • Defence outperforms: Order pipeline hopes lift HAL, Mazagon Dock, and BEL as the broader market cools.

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. Ola Electric: ₹366.78 cr PLI incentive sanctioned

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: The government sanctions ₹366.78 crore PLI Auto incentive for FY25 via an official order.

  • Strategic: Supports cash runway and localisation narrative; improves near-term profitability optics.

  • Market: Stock jumped around 5% intraday, outperforming a weak tape.

    $OLAELEC.NSE ( ▼ 3.82% )

Ola gets ₹366.78 cr PLI sanction. Your take?

  • Bullish: cash tailwind
  • Neutral: one-off boost
  • Cautious: burn still high

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2. Lenskart: KRW 3bn for 29.24% in Korea’s iiNeer

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial: Singapore arm invests KRW 3 billion for a 29.24% stake in iiNeer (optical equipment maker).

  • Strategic: Secures equipment IP, improves store throughput, and de-risks supply for core optical hardware.

  • Market: Shares rose about 4% on the tech-control update.

    $LENSKART.NSE ( ▲ 3.11% )

Lenskart buys into optical equipment tech. Impact?

  • Bullish: vertical advantage
  • Neutral: incremental
  • Cautious: capex drag

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3. Rico Auto: 13% surge to 52-week high on heavy volumes

Gemini-2.5

  • Move: Stock hits a fresh high near ₹141.65, up about 13% with unusually heavy trading volumes.

  • Read-through: Momentum reflects renewed small-cap risk appetite and auto-ancillary enthusiasm.

  • Market: Outperformed sharply despite index weakness; watch follow-through after volume normalises.

    $RICOAUTO.NSE ( ▲ 0.49% )

Rico Auto hits new high on volumes. Next?

  • Bullish: breakout holds
  • Neutral: consolidates
  • Cautious: fade risk

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4. BSE Bankex reshuffle: adds 4 banks, expands to 14

Gemini-2.5

  • Change: Canara Bank, AU SFB, PNB, Union Bank added; index expands to 14 constituents.

  • Strategic: Refresh supports Bankex derivatives depth and benchmark relevance.

  • Market: Added names may see passive and derivatives-linked flows into the month-end.

    $BSE.NSE ( ▲ 0.04% )

Bankex reshuffle goes live. Effect on added banks?

  • Bullish: flow boost
  • Neutral: minimal impact
  • Cautious: short-lived

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5. Defence stocks: outperform on DAC approval expectations

Gemini-2.5

  • Setup: Defence index rose intraday; HAL, Mazagon Dock, BEL led on procurement approval expectations.

  • Strategic: Pipeline clarity supports FY26 visibility and premium valuations.

  • Market: Sector beat benchmarks as investors rotated into policy-led cyclicals.

    $HAL.NSE ( ▲ 1.12% ) $MAZDOCK.NSE ( ▲ 0.91% ) $BEL.NSE ( ▲ 1.38% )

Defence stocks rally on DAC hopes. Your stance?

  • Bullish: orders incoming
  • Neutral: wait approval
  • Cautious: priced in

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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