TLDR
Market Recap: September 24, 2025
On September 24, 2025, Indian equities extended their losing streak as Sensex closed at 81,715.63 (-386.47, -0.47%) and Nifty 50 at 25,056.90 (-112.60, -0.45%). Defensive FMCG outperformed, while IT, auto, and realty lagged; Midcap 100 (-0.98%) and Smallcap 100 (-0.67%) underperformed the benchmark. India VIX was broadly flat near 10.6. Weak risk appetite followed US H-1B fee headlines weighing on IT, while a poll signalled the RBI is likely to hold rates on Oct 1. Provisional flows showed FII net sell ~₹2,426 cr and DII buy ~₹1,212 cr.
Key Drivers :
Visa shock hits IT sentiment: Reports on a steep US H-1B fee kept large-cap IT under pressure, extending a four-day slide and dampening broader risk appetite.
Flows and volatility: FIIs sold on a provisional basis while DIIs cushioned declines; VIX was nearly unchanged, signalling contained near-term stress.
Policy watch: Street positioned for an RBI pause next week; defensives outperformed as traders pared cyclicals ahead of the policy.
Today’s Top Stories:
PhonePe confidential IPO filing: Files for ~$1.35 - 1.5 bn; revenue up 40% as losses narrow.
Tata Motors/JLR shutdown: JLR extends halt to Oct 1 post-cyberattack; Tata Motors slips.
SEBI vs weekly expiries: Regulator’s consultation weighs on BSE and brokerages.
ONGC renewables push: Plans 2.5 - 3 GW acquisitions and long-term LNG deals; stock up.
Solarworld IPO heat: Day-2 subscription crosses 3x with strong retail demand.
TOP STORIES
1. PhonePe files confidential papers for India IPO; targets mid-2026 listing window
DALL-E
Fund-raise details: The Walmart-backed fintech filed via the confidential route and is eyeing ~$1.35 - 1.5 bn; FY25 revenue rose +40% to ₹7,114.8 cr as losses narrowed.
Strategic implication: A domestic listing would crystallize valuation for India’s UPI leader and could set new benchmarks for listed fintechs ahead of deeper cross-sell opportunities in insurance and investments.
Market reaction: PhonePe is unlisted; listed peers edged lower in a weak tape, with Paytm and PB Fintech closing softer.
PhonePe has filed confidentially for a domestic IPO, aiming $1.35 - 1.5 bn; UPI leader widening into insurance and investments. Your take?
2. Tata Motors falls as JLR extends production halt to Oct 1 after cyberattack
DALL-E
Operational update: JLR extended its production shutdown following the early-September cyber incident; UK authorities are weighing supplier support options.
Strategic implication: Prolonged downtime risks Q3 volume spillover and working capital strain across the supply chain, prompting a focus on recovery cadence and cyber-resilience spending.
Market reaction: Tata Motors underperformed; reports flagged the stock down roughly 2–3% intraday.
JLR extended its post-cyberattack production halt to Oct 1, raising near-term volume risk. How do you position Tata Motors?
3. SEBI weighs changes to weekly options expiries; exchange and broker stocks dip
DALL-E
Regulatory development: SEBI began consultations on the removal of weekly options expiry, meeting large brokerages to seek written suggestions on derivative contract structures.
Strategic implication: Any curbs on weekly expiries could impact turnover-linked revenues, cool ultra-short-dated options activity, and nudge risk management practices across the street.
Market reaction: BSE Ltd and select brokerage names fell up to ~3% on the report.
Regulator is consulting on curbs to weekly expiries, which could hit turnover. What is your stance?
4. ONGC outlines plan to acquire 2.5–3 GW of renewables; LNG import deals on deck
DALL-E
Energy transition move: ONGC aims to acquire 2.5–3 GW of renewable projects by 2030 and is pursuing 3 mtpa long-term LNG contracts within a year.
Strategic implication: The pivot broadens earnings mix and hedges commodity cycles, reinforcing energy security via contracted gas while scaling non-fossil capacity.
Market reaction: ONGC closed modestly higher (~+0.8%) despite the weak market.
Plan adds renewable capacity and contracted gas volumes by 2030. How do you view ONGC now?
5. Solarworld Energy Solutions IPO sees strong Day-2 demand; retail oversubscribed
DALL-E
Subscription update: Day-2 bids crossed 3x overall; retail 10x+ with QIB participation still building; GMP hovered in the mid-teens percent range.
Strategic implication: Healthy early traction extends India’s primary-market momentum, keeping power/energy transition names in focus this fortnight.
Market reaction: Sentiment supportive for near-term listing; secondary markets were weak, but IPO appetite remained firm.
Day-2 subscription strong with high retail interest; QIB book still forming. What is your IPO approach?
GYAANI HOT TAKES
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