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Cashflows & Curveballs

Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan

Aug 1, 2025

Adventuring through the Canadian Rockies

TLDR

📈 Market Recap: August 1, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Indian equity markets traded negatively amid heightened volatility and broader selling pressures driven by tariff fears and macroeconomic uncertainty. The BSE Sensex fell 585.67 points (–0.72%) to close at 80,599.91, while the NSE Nifty 50 declined by 203 points (–0.82%) to settle at 24,565.35.

Broader market performance showed consistent weakness: Nifty Midcap 100 declined around 1.37%, while Nifty Smallcap 100 retreated by -1.59%. Sectoral trends showed defensive buying in FMCG (+0.43%), even as significant selling pressure impacted IT, pharma, healthcare, and auto sectors.

Investor sentiment was notably cautious, driven by renewed concerns over U.S. tariffs and significant foreign institutional outflows.

Key Drivers:

  • U.S. Tariff Impact: A 25% duty on Indian exports effective immediately created significant market headwinds.

  • Rupee Weakness: Continued depreciation of the rupee, ending at ₹87.52–87.54/USD, added pressure on sentiment.

  • Sector Rotation: Investors sought defensive positions in FMCG while rotating out of IT and pharmaceuticals.

  • Foreign Outflows: Persistent selling by foreign investors weighed heavily on overall market sentiment.

Today’s Top Stories:

  1. Chalet Hotels Q1 Profit Soars 236%, Shares Surge 8% : Robust operational growth and sharp margin expansion boosted Chalet Hotels' Q1 profit significantly.

  2. JSW Energy Q1 Profit Surges 42%, Stock Up 4% : JSW Energy rallied as strong renewable and thermal expansion boosted earnings significantly.

  3. Swiggy Loss Nearly Doubles, Shares Drop 4.3% : Swiggy’s aggressive quick-commerce push widened losses despite robust revenue growth.

  4. MobiKwik Loss Balloons Despite Improved Margins : Sharp growth in payments failed to offset investors' concerns about widening quarterly losses.

  5. Maruti Suzuki Q1 Profit Beats Estimates, Stock Falls 2% : Strong exports mitigated domestic weakness, but modest growth disappointed investors..

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. Chalet Hotels Ltd. Q1 Profit Soars -236% YoY

DALL-E

  • Financials: Net profit jumped to ₹203.15 crore in Q1 FY26 from ₹60.67 crore a year ago (up ~235–236%), revenue nearly doubled to ₹894.5 crore, EBITDA up ~150% with margins at ~39.9%.

  • Strategic View: Robust operational growth highlights effective cost control and upscale positioning.

  • Market Reaction: Shares surged ~8% to around ₹978, followed by mild profit booking.

    $CHALET.NSE ( ▲ 1.87% )

Poll: What’s your take on Chalet Hotels' performance?

  • Bullish – Strong earnings momentum likely to continue
  • Neutral – Impressive results priced in after recent rally
  • Cautious – Luxury hospitality demand faces macro headwinds

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2. JSW Energy Powers Ahead with 42% Profit Surge, Stock Sparks 4% Rally

DALL-E

  • Financials: PAT climbed 42.4% YoY to ₹743 crore; revenue rocketed ~78.6% YoY to ₹5,143 crore, and EBITDA nearly doubled (~93% YoY) with margins expanding to ~54–56% .

  • Growth Drivers: Capacity additions of 1,893 MW (from acquisitions & renewables) drove output and long‑term contract stability

  • Market Response: Shares jumped nearly 4% intra‑day to ₹533.6, reflecting market appreciation of diversification into renewable and thermal mix

    $JSWENERGY.NSE ( ▲ 5.59% )

How do you view JSW Energy’s Q1 performance?

  • Bullish – Strong growth and capacity expansion make this a power-sector winner
  • Neutral – Great numbers, but investor expectations now high; limited upside left
  • Cautious – High capex and integration risks may weigh on margins ahead

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3. Swiggy Ltd. Loss Widens Sharply on Quick-Commerce Push

DALL-E

  • Financials: Net loss widened sharply to ₹1,197 crore from ₹611 crore YoY; revenue surged 54% to ₹4,961 crore; Instamart orders grew ~108%.

  • Strategic Impact: Considering exiting 12% stake in Rapido due to competitive conflicts in food delivery.

  • Market Reaction: Shares declined ~4.3%, reflecting investor caution over intensive cash burn..

    $SWIGGY.NSE ( ▲ 2.97% )

What’s your stance on Swiggy’s growth strategy?

  • Bullish – Quick-commerce investments to pay off long-term
  • Neutral – High revenue growth balanced by high burn rate
  • Cautious – Rising losses unsustainable amid competition

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4. One MobiKwik Systems Loss Worsens Despite Operational Improvements

DALL-E

  • Financials: Q1 loss expanded sharply to ₹41.9 crore YoY from ₹6.6 crore; revenue declined 20.7% to ₹271 crore.

  • Segment Trends: Payments GMV rose 53% YoY to ₹3.84 lakh crore; gross margin improved sharply to ~27.9%; EBITDA losses narrowed 32% QoQ.

  • Investor Takeaway: Investors remain cautious despite improved underlying economics.

    $MOBIKWIK.NSE ( ▼ 2.29% )

What's your outlook for MobiKwik’s future?

  • Bullish – Strong underlying metrics suggest turnaround
  • Neutral – Operational improvements overshadowed by losses
  • Cautious – Competitive pressure and ongoing losses troubling

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5. Maruti Suzuki India Q1 Profit Beats on Strong Exports, Domestic Slowdown

DALL-E

  • Financials: Net profit increased slightly by 0.9–2% YoY to ₹3,712–3,792 crore; revenue up ~8% to ₹38,400–38,605 crore, boosted by higher non-operating income.

  • Business Drivers: Domestic volumes fell by ~4.5%; exports surged ~37.4%, offsetting weaker domestic demand.

  • Market Reaction: Shares declined ~2%, reflecting modest domestic performance..

    $MARUTI.NSE ( ▲ 1.82% )

How do you feel about Maruti Suzuki’s prospects?

  • Bullish – Export strength will sustain future earnings
  • Neutral – Balanced mix of export gains and domestic slowdown
  • Cautious – Persistent domestic weakness to impact future growth

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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