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Bulls, Bids & Big Surprises

Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan

Jul 31, 2025

Adventuring through the Canadian Rockies

TLDR

📈 Market Recap: July 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Indian equity markets traded cautiously and ended with modest declines, shrugging off early weakness as tariff fears sparked volatility. The BSE Sensex fell 296.28 points (–0.36%) to close at 81,185.58, while the NSE Nifty 50 dropped 86.70 points (–0.35%) to settle at 24,768.35.

Broader market performance showed mixed movements: Nifty Midcap 100 declined around 0.93%, while Nifty Smallcap 100 also retreated by -1.05% . Sectoral trends saw FMCG stocks bucking the general downtrend even as IT and metals lagged amid headline risks.

Investor sentiment was shaped by continued cautiousness, with stock-specific action and defensive buying cushioning the impact of broader global uncertainties.

Key Drivers:

  • Trump’s tariff announcement: A 25% duty on Indian goods from August 1 rattled the market early in the day.

  • Recovery resilience: Though markets opened sharply lower, they staged a partial mid-session rebound as initial panic subsided.

  • Sector divergence: Defensive plays in FMCG and consumer staples offered support; IT and auto-related names lagged under pressure.

  • Profit booking and risk-off tone: Traders took profits ahead of month-end and in light of geopolitical risk, leading to broad-based, though calibrated, selling.

Today’s Top Stories:

  1. Laxmi India Finance IPO Nears 2× Subscription : Retail enthusiasm drove strong Day 3 response to Laxmi’s ₹254 cr IPO.

  2. Sagility India Profit Jumps 566%, Stock Hits Upper Circuit : Sagility soared 10% after posting exceptional profit growth in Q1.

  3. Kaynes Technology Up 11.4% on Strong Q1 Performance : Kaynes rallied sharply after delivering 50% profit growth.

  4. Reliance to Spin Off FMCG Arm into Standalone Business : Reliance aims to unlock value via consumer goods carve-out.

  5. Adani Enterprises Q1 Net Profit Falls 50% on Coal Slowdown : Lower energy demand led to a steep decline in Adani Enterprises’ earnings.

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. Laxmi India Finance IPO Nears 2× Subscription

DALL-E

  • Subscription status: IPO secured 1.86× subscription by Day 3; retail interest at 2.2×.

  • Details: ₹254 crore issue, price band of ₹150–₹158; GMP indicates ~2–3% listing gain.

  • Market Outlook: Sentiment: Strong retail appetite reflects confidence in NBFCs with regional focus.

What’s your take on Laxmi India Finance’s IPO?

  • Bullish – Undervalued NBFC with strong local penetration
  • Neutral – Reasonable pricing but limited near-term upside
  • Cautious – Sector faces rising cost and credit cycle risks

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2. Sagility India Profit Jumps 566%, Stock Hits Upper Circuit

DALL-E

  • Earnings growth: Q1 net profit rose to ₹148.56 crore, marking a 566% YoY increase.

  • Stock reaction: Shares hit 10% upper circuit after the earnings release.

  • Takeaway: Performance driven by cost control, favorable contracts, and margin improvement.

    $SAGILITY.NSE ( ▼ 0.08% )

Will Sagility continue this growth pace?

  • Bullish – Lean model + steady demand make it sustainable
  • Neutral – Q1 was strong, but tough comps ahead
  • Cautious – Could be a one-off; wait for next quarter

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3. Kaynes Technology Up 11.4% on Strong Q1 Performance

DALL-E

  • Financials: Net profit surged 50% YoY; margins improved amid growing industrial orders.

  • Stock move: Shares rallied 11.4% intraday, outperforming broader market.

  • Outlook: Management expects continued export-led momentum and robust execution.

    $KAYNES.NSE ( ▲ 5.69% )

Is Kaynes still a buy after the run-up?

  • Bullish – Strong earnings visibility and sector tailwinds
  • Neutral – Valuations now reflect future optimism
  • Cautious – Rally priced in; limited short-term upside

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4. Reliance to Spin Off FMCG Arm into Standalone Business

DALL-E

  • Structure: Reliance will demerge its consumer goods unit (including Campa Cola, staples).

  • Strategy: Move aims to unlock value and attract focused investors.

  • Implication: May pave the way for a future IPO of the standalone FMCG brand

    $RELIANCE.NSE ( ▲ 0.73% )

What do you think of Reliance’s consumer spin-off?

  • Bullish – Clear value unlocking in a high-growth vertical
  • Neutral – Execution matters; brand traction is key
  • Cautious – Still early; valuations could be aggressive

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5. Adani Enterprises Q1 Net Profit Falls 50% on Coal Slowdown

DALL-E

  • Financials: Net profit dropped to ₹7.34 billion from ₹14.55 billion YoY; revenue down 14%.

  • Reason: Weak coal demand and power sector headwinds impacted overall business.

  • Market impact: Stock fell up to 3.8% intraday on volume-led selling.

    $ADANIENT.NSE ( ▲ 0.61% )

Is this a temporary dip for Adani Enterprises?

  • Bullish – Diversification will offset coal pressure
  • Neutral – Wait-and-watch; core still underperforming
  • Cautious – Coal outlook weak; risks remain high

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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