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  • Big Money, Big Misses, Big Missiles!

Big Money, Big Misses, Big Missiles!

Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan

Oct 24, 2025

Adventuring through the Canadian Rockies

TLDR

Market Recap: October 24, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Profit-booking paused the rally after six straight gains. Sensex closed 84,211.88 (−344.52, −0.41%) and Nifty 50 25,795.15 (−96.25, −0.37%). Nifty Midcap 100 −0.24% and Nifty Smallcap 100 −0.21%. India VIX at 11.59 (−1.19%). Metals held up; FMCG and PSU Banks lagged. FII +₹621.5 cr, DII +₹173.1 cr (provisional). Trade-deal chatter cooled risk appetite at highs.

Key Drivers :

  • Rally fatigue at peaks: After 3% up over six sessions, investors locked in gains; breadth softened with defensives dragging.

  • Flows turn mildly positive: FIIs and DIIs both net bought, cushioning the dip and keeping indices near highs.

  • Policy tape-watch: The remarks that an India–US trade pact is “very near” kept global cues in play, but did not avert local profit-taking.

Today’s Top Stories:

  • Blackstone-Federal Bank: PE giant to take 9.99%; capital and governance boost; stock firmer.

  • SBI Life Q2: Profit softer on costs; premiums strong; mix tilts to non-par.

  • Defence AoNs: ₹79,000 cr approvals ignite PSU defense stocks.

  • Dr. Reddy’s Q2: +7% YoY but below Street; stock holds up.

  • Cipla-Lilly: Tirzepatide deal lands; shares slip on near-term execution worries.

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. Blackstone to buy 9.99% of Federal Bank ($705 mn)

Gemini-2.5

  • Deal terms: Blackstone affiliate to invest about ₹6,196 cr via preferential shares and warrants for a 9.99% stake; board seat rights on warrant exercise.

  • Strategic angle: Capital boost and marquee sponsor strengthen growth runway in retail and SME, with governance signaling via board representation.

  • Market reaction: Federal Bank up 1-2% intraday on the announcement.

    $FEDERALBNK.NSE ( ▲ 0.12% )

Will Blackstone’s ₹6,196 cr investment and potential board seat shift your stance on Federal Bank?

  • Bullish: Governance + capital tailwind
  • Neutral: Needs execution proof
  • Cautious: Dilution and regulatory caps

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2. SBI Life Q2: profit -6.6% YoY; premiums +22.6%

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial performance: Q2 PAT ₹495 cr (-6.6% YoY) as expenses and commissions rose; net premium income ₹24,848 cr (+22.6% YoY).

  • Business mix: Shift toward non-par products to protect margins amid softer markets; VNB and margin improved sequentially.

  • Market reaction: The stock edged lower during trade as investors weighed growth against margin pressures.

    $SBILIFE.NSE ( ▲ 1.65% )

PAT −6.6% YoY, net premiums +22.6% YoY. How do you position?

  • Accumulate: Growth offsets costs
  • Hold: Wait for margin clarity
  • Avoid: Expense drag persists

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3. Defence orders cleared: ₹79,000 cr AoNs spark sector rally

Gemini-2.5

  • Policy action: DAC approved ₹79,000 cr capital proposals spanning missiles, amphibious ships, ELINT, and mobility systems.

  • Industry impact: Order visibility lifts PSU primes (BEL, BDL, GRSE, Cochin Shipyard); defence index outperformed on the day.

  • Market reaction: Defence names gained up to 4% intraday on fresh procurement tailwinds.

    $BDL.NSE ( ▼ 0.42% ) $GRSE.NSE ( ▼ 1.63% )

Fresh DAC approvals across missiles, ships, ELINT. Sector call?

  • Overweight: Order visibility strong
  • Market weight: Select PSU leaders
  • Underweight: Valuation froth risk

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4. Dr. Reddy’s Q2: profit +7% YoY but a miss vs estimates

Gemini-2.5

  • Earnings print: PAT ₹1,347 cr (+7.3% YoY); slight miss to consensus on US pricing pressure, partly offset by Europe and India strength.

  • Operational take: Pipeline and launches continue; geographic diversification balances US headwinds.

  • Market reaction: Shares were broadly resilient, modestly outperforming a weak tape.

    $DRREDDY.NSE ( ▲ 0.4% )

Miss vs Street on US pricing pressure. Your move?

  • Buy dips: Pipeline and launches
  • Hold: US price risk linger
  • Trim: Estimate cuts ahead

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5. Cipla to market Lilly’s weight-loss drug in India; stock dips

Gemini-2.5

  • Commercial tie-up: Cipla to market tirzepatide under a new Indian brand, while Lilly manufactures; obesity and diabetes opportunities targeted.

  • Strategic read: Opens a high-growth therapy for Cipla’s chronic portfolio; pricing, supply, and payer access are near-term watch-outs.

  • Market reaction: Cipla −3% intraday as traders priced execution and margin questions.

    $CIPLA.NSE ( ▲ 0.27% )

Obesity/diabetes entry, stock dipped on execution worries. View?

  • Positive: Chronic portfolio boost
  • Neutral: Pricing and access key
  • Skeptical: Margin and supply risk

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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