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  • Beats on Paper, Shrugs on Screen!

Beats on Paper, Shrugs on Screen!

Yash Tiwari
Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan
Yash Tiwari & Sean Horgan

Oct 16, 2025

Adventuring through the Canadian Rockies

TLDR

Market Recap: October 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Bulls pressed on for a second day, as banks/FMCG led, and a firmer rupee eased macroeconomic nerves. Sensex closed 83,467.66 (+862.23, +1.04%); Nifty 50 25,585.30 (+261.75, +1.03%). Broader indices rose: Nifty Midcap 100 +0.46%; Nifty Smallcap 100 +0.24%, India VIX 10.86 (▲3.13%). Provisional flows were supportive: FII +₹997 cr; DII +₹4,076 cr.

Key Drivers :

  • Rupee tailwind: Reports of heavy RBI FX support flipped options risk-reversals in favor of INR; currency extended gains, aiding risk appetite.

  • Earnings bid: Large-cap IT prints (Infosys, Wipro) and upbeat LTIMindtree kept tech constructive despite mixed single-stock moves.

  • Breadth & sectors: Buying was broad-based with FMCG, Banks, Auto leading; smallcaps/midcaps rose in tandem.

Today’s Top Stories:

  • Infosys tightens FY26 view to 2-3%: Q2 beat; stock slightly softer.

  • Wipro edges up on Q2: Revenue +1.8%, two $500mn+ wins; Q3 guide in line.

  • LTIMindtree beats: Profit +12%, BFSI-led; shares marginally higher.

  • Zee profit halves: Ads weak; ZEE5 losses narrow; shares -0.6%.

  • Metro Brands misses: Demand lull ahead of tax cuts; stock steady.

Market Snapshot

CNBC

Nifty 50 Index Heatmap

TradingView

Top Gainers & Losers

TradingView

TOP STORIES

1. Infosys narrows FY26 revenue view to 2-3%; Q2 beat on revenue & profit

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial performance: Q2 revenue ₹444.9 bn (+8.5% YoY); PAT ₹73.64 bn (+13.2% YoY), both ahead of estimates. Guidance tightened to 2-3%.

    Strategic/ops: Broad-based growth (FS & manufacturing), $3.1 bn large deals (YoY up), while near-term TCV softer vs Q1.

    Market reaction: Stock slipped 0.1-0.3%, lagging a strong tape.

    $INFY.NSE ( ▲ 0.08% )

Your call on the outlook:

Infosys Q2 beat; FY26 revenue view narrowed to 2-3%.
  • Bullish: Guidance credible, deals support growth
  • Neutral: Stable but limited upside near term
  • Cautious: Macro and ramp risks linger

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2. Wipro Q2: revenue +1.8% YoY; PAT +1.2%; two mega deals

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial performance: Revenue ₹226.97 bn (+1.8% YoY); PAT ₹32.46 bn (+1.2% YoY). Q3 guide $2.59-2.64 bn (-0.5% to +1.5% QoQ).

  • Strategic/ops: Won two $500mn+ contracts; total bookings $4.69 bn (down QoQ, up YoY); Asia & Americas Comms helped.

  • Market reaction: Shares +1.4% on results day.

    $WIPRO.NSE ( ▲ 0.5% )

Turnaround trajectory from here:

Wipro Q2 steady; two $500 mn plus wins
  • Bullish: Deal wins drive H2 acceleration
  • Neutral: Progress needs 2-3 quarters more
  • Cautious: Bookings quality and margins in question

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3. LTIMindtree beats Q2 expectations on BFSI; profit +12%

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial performance: Net profit +12% YoY; sales +10.2%; new deals $1.59 bn (slightly below Q1 but above LY).

  • Strategic/ops: BFSI led; management still targeting near double-digit FY growth; Americas grew 3.6% QoQ.

  • Market reaction: Shares ended marginally higher after the recent run-up.

    $LTIM.NSE ( ▲ 0.13% )

Can FY growth stay near double digits:

LTIMindtree beats; BFSI leads, profit up 12%
  • Yes: BFSI pipeline and execution solid
  • Maybe: Depends on US demand and pricing
  • No: Deal slippage could slow momentum

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4. Zee Entertainment profit halves on ad slump; streaming losses narrow

Gemini-2.5

  • Zee Entertainment profit halves on ad slump; streaming losses narrow

    Financial performance: Q2 PAT ₹765 mn (-60% YoY); ad revenue -11% YoY (12th drop in 13 quarters); overall revenue -2%.

  • Strategic/ops: ZEE5 core losses cut >80%; subscription +5%; margins compressed 7.4% vs 16% YoY.

  • Market reaction: Stock -0.6% amid competitive/ads concerns.

    $ZEEL.NSE ( ▲ 0.59% )

What’s your stance on the turnaround:

Zee Entertainment profit halves; ZEE5 losses narrow
  • Constructive: Digital traction offsets ad slump
  • Wait: Need ad cycle and margins to heal
  • Avoid: Competitive pressure too high

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5. Metro Brands misses Q2 profit view as demand softens ahead of tax cuts

Gemini-2.5

  • Financial performance: Q2 profit below estimates on softer footwear demand; commentary cited pre-tax-cut pause.

  • Strategic/ops: Focus on mix and store expansion continues; watchers track festive sell-through and elasticity.

  • Market reaction: The Stock was little changed by close.

    $METROBRAND.NSE ( ▲ 0.93% )

Footwear demand into festive:

Metro Brands misses; demand soft pre tax cuts
  • Uptrend: Pricing and store adds to aid sales
  • Mixed: Urban holds, mass-market patchy
  • Weak: Elasticity and discretionary stress

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GYAANI HOT TAKES

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